Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:12 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 25% chance and No at 75%.
This market resolves Yes if California voters approve a ballot measure in the 2026 election that imposes a one-time wealth tax on billionaires. Otherwise, it resolves No. Resolution is based on the official results certified by the California Secretary of State and a consensus of credible reporting. The market’s end date is November 4, 2026, 12:59:59 AM CET.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @WSJ
