Prediction
Answer Options
YES applies if Likud wins fewer than 32 Knesset seats at Israel's parliamentary election expected on 27 October 2026. If Likud runs on a joint list with one or more other parties, every seat won by that list counts; if Likud merges with another party before the election, every seat won by the merged party, or by any joint list it runs on, counts. NO applies at 32 seats or more. If the result is not definitively known by 30 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, NO applies. Consistent reporting by reputable news outlets decides; if it is unclear, only the official results of Israel's Central Elections Committee count. Polls, projections and vote shares without a final seat count do not qualify.
Reported by versus Markets
