Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:07 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Gintautas Kindurys at a 52% chance, ahead of Vladislav Kondratovič at 18% and Antanas Šakalis at 14%.
YES goes to the listed candidate who wins the early election (by-election) for a seat in the Seimas, Lithuania's parliament, in Northern Nalšia, single-member constituency No. 52, scheduled for 8 November 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the winner of the second round decides. If the result is not definitively known by 31 May 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or the winner is not one of the listed candidates, every listed candidate is NO. At most one listed candidate is YES. Reliable election reporting decides; if it is ambiguous, only the official results of Lithuania's Central Electoral Commission (Vyriausioji rinkimų komisija) decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
