Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:03 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 47% chance and No at 53%.
The 2028 U.S. presidential election is scheduled for November 7, 2028. This market resolves Yes if the person who wins the election is a woman. Otherwise, it resolves No. The resolution sources are the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. The market resolves once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources have not called the race for the same candidate by Inauguration Day, January 20, 2029, the market resolves based on who is inaugurated.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @EricLDaugh
