Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:07 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 53% chance and No at 47%.
YES applies if Josh Allen ranks in the leading five quarterbacks by total fantasy points for NFL regular-season weeks 1–18 in 2026–27. Use ESPN Fantasy Sports’ default PPR scoring, meaning points per reception. Exclude postseason statistics. Where a tie would admit more than five quarterbacks, rank the tied players by their higher average fantasy points per game in the 2026 regular season, then alphabetically by surname. Exactly five quarterbacks qualify. NO applies if Allen misses this group, or if cancellation, postponement beyond 26 January 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or unavailable rankings prevents determination by that cutoff. ESPN Fantasy Sports’ official season totals at espn.com/fantasy are the designated evidence; no alternative provider is specified.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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