Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:05 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 5 million to 5.5 million at a 48% chance, ahead of 4.5 million to 5 million at 25% and 5.5 million to 6 million at 16%.
The YES answer is the sole live interval that contains the valid-vote total in Pennsylvania's 2026 gubernatorial election. Add every certified vote for a candidate or non-candidate option, leave out invalid or blank ballots, and use first-round totals if the system is preferential. A boundary value belongs to the higher interval. If no definitive total is available by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, choose the lowest interval. The Pennsylvania certifying authority's result controls, with broadly corroborated journalism as a supplement.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
