Will the US issue a $250 note with Trump on it by 31 Dec?

As of 30 October 2026, 09:04 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 5% chance and No at 95%.

Category

politics

Closes

2027-01-01 04:59 UTC

Answers

2

Chances as of

2026-10-30 09:04 UTC

YES requires the U.S. federal government to make a legal-tender $250 note featuring Donald Trump publicly available for purchase, order, or distribution by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (1 January 2027 at 04:59 UTC). Only the $250 denomination qualifies; coins, other denominations, proposals, designs, approvals, or announcements without issuance do not. A limited commemorative run counts if it is legal tender. Official federal information is primary, with established reporting as fallback. If no qualifying bill is issued by the deadline, NO is correct.

Answer options

• Yes5%
• No95%

Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.

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