Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:07 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 54% chance and No at 46%.
YES if Cerro loses its place in Uruguay's top flight, the Primera División, for next season as a result of the 2026 campaign. It counts whether this comes from where Cerro finishes in the final table, from defeat in a relegation play-off, or from some other official decision that the league itself recognises. NO if Cerro keeps its top-flight place. Should the 2026 campaign be cancelled, be pushed back beyond 23:59 ET on 31 Dec 2026, or should no club be confirmed as going down by that time, every team settles NO. The league's own announcements decide; consistent reports from reputable news outlets may be used as well.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
