Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:04 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 15% chance and No at 85%.
YES applies when OpenAI publicly announces and launches by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET a newly introduced device meant for ordinary individual users. A relabelled, refreshed, or iterative version of an earlier device does not qualify. A concept, announcement without launch, prototype, internal test, developer tool, AI chip, or server sold only for enterprise use does not qualify. NO applies otherwise. OpenAI’s official product information controls.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
