Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:05 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is At least 1.6 million but under 1.7 million votes at a 30% chance, ahead of At least 1.5 million but under 1.6 million votes at 30% and At least 1.7 million but under 1.8 million votes at 20%.
The YES range is the total valid votes cast in Kentucky's 2026 midterm Senate election. Count certified votes for candidates and non-candidate options; exclude invalidated and blank votes. In a ranked-choice or preferential system, use first-round totals. A value exactly on a bracket boundary goes into the higher range. If the result is not definitively known by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, use the lowest live range. The official state-certified election result is primary, with an overwhelming broad agreement in reputable reporting also usable. Exactly one live range is YES and all others are NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
