
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:12 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 95% chance and No at 5%.
YES applies if Sam Darnold is credited with a total of at least 3,199.5 passing yards, which in practice means 3,200 yards or more, over the 2026-27 NFL regular season; otherwise NO. Playoff games do not count. If Darnold does not play in that regular season for any reason, the answer is NO. If the regular season is shortened, cut short or stops early, the official totals from the games actually completed decide. If the season is cancelled, is postponed beyond 26 January 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or his season passing-yard total cannot be established within that time, the prediction settles at half value: YES and NO positions each receive half of a winning payout. Official NFL statistics decide; reliable sports reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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