Prediction
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As of 30 October 2026, 10:07 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 77% chance and No at 23%.
YES applies only if a candidate receives more than 50% of valid votes in the first round of Georgia’s 9th Congressional District election on 3 November 2026. A later runoff does not qualify as an outright first-round win. NO applies when no candidate clears that majority or when the result is not definitively known by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Use the certified tally from the Georgia electoral authority; dependable reporting may corroborate a clear result, but official figures control an ambiguity. A qualifying majority must be achieved in the first round itself, not inferred from polling or projections.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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