Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:58 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 3,200,000 to 3,400,000 at a 45% chance, ahead of 3,000,000 to 3,200,000 at 28% and 2,400,000 to 2,600,000 at 20%.
YES belongs to the live band containing the total valid votes certified for the 2026 New Jersey Senate election. Include votes certified for candidates or non-candidate choices, but exclude blank and invalidated ballots; in a ranked or preferential system use the first-round total. A value exactly between bands uses the higher band. If the result is not definitive by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, use the lowest band. The state's certifying election authority is primary, while a broad, consistent body of reliable reports may also decide. Exactly one live band is YES and all others are NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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