Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:12 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 11% chance and No at 89%.
This market resolves Yes if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 election between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 5:59 AM CET/CEST on the following day. Otherwise, it resolves No. The announcement alone qualifies for Yes, regardless of whether Musk ever files a nomination to run. The primary resolution source is Musk’s own official statements, including speeches or social-media posts, or statements from his official or legal representatives. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by @Velar2026
