Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:12 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 72% chance and No at 28%.
This market resolves to "Yes" if a new party in which Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, holds a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by 05:59 CET/CEST on July 1, 2027. Otherwise it resolves to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and must obtain full recognition from the JCE by that date (see https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party does not qualify if it is an existing party that has simply been renamed or restructured with Alofoke in a leadership role. Alofoke must hold a leadership position within the party. The resolution source is official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
