Prediction
Answer Options
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As of 30 October 2026, 08:07 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 97% chance and No at 3%.
YES if the Republicans win the largest share of white voters in the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Texas (election day 3 November 2026), according to CNN's exit polling as shown on the relevant CNN page at 12:00 PM ET on 6 November 2026. If the parties tie for first, the party whose name comes first alphabetically takes it, so Democrats rank ahead of Republicans. If CNN has relevant exit polling but it cannot be viewed at that time, wait one full calendar day for an update before turning to the backups. If CNN publishes no relevant exit polling, use CBS, and if CBS has none either, use ABC. If none of CNN, CBS or ABC provides relevant exit polling by 7 November 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, NO. If another party wins the largest share, NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
