Prediction
Answer Options
Learn as you go
As of 30 October 2026, 10:05 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 31% chance and No at 69%.
YES applies if the US Supreme Court grants certiorari by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET in a case expressly addressing the legality, regulation, or jurisdiction over sports-event contracts. The case must concern regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act, federal pre-emption of state gambling law, or authority to offer or restrict such contracts; it need not be heard or decided. Confirm the grant on the official docket or orders list, with credible legal reporting as corroboration. NO applies without a qualifying grant by the deadline.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
