Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:15 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Johnny Chiang at a 82% chance, ahead of Ho Hsin-chun at 21% and Yang Chiung-ying at 2%.
This prediction concerns the mayor chosen in the election scheduled for 28 November 2026 in Taichung. The candidate who wins that election and takes the elected office qualifies for YES. A temporary, interim or placeholder mayor appointed before the election does not qualify. If a definitive result is still unavailable at 11:59 PM ET on 30 June 2027, use Other; this also covers no candidate being elected by that cutoff. Establish the result through agreement among reputable election reports. Where those accounts are ambiguous, only the official result from the Taiwan Central Election Commission controls. Exactly one answer is YES when a listed option qualifies; every other listed option is NO. An unlisted outcome or an applicable Other fallback leaves all listed options NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
