Prediction
Answer Options
Learn as you go
As of 30 October 2026, 09:06 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 22% chance and No at 78%.
YES if the total valid votes cast in South Carolina's 2026 US Senate election come to 1,600,000 to under 1,800,000; any other total is NO. All certified votes for candidates and for non-candidate options count; invalid or blank ballots do not. If a ranked or preferential count is used, the first-round total counts. A total sitting exactly on the line between two bands belongs to the higher band. If the result is still not definitively known on 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, the lowest band (under 1.4 million votes) is treated as the result: YES only for that band and NO for every other. The certified results from South Carolina's state election authority decide; overwhelming agreement among reliable news reports may be used as a fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
