Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:10 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is 1 at a 49% chance, ahead of 2 at 48% and 3 at 7%.
This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that take place between the creation of this market and the formation of a government in the Knesset, or 05:59 CET/CEST on January 1, 2028, whichever comes first. Resolution depends solely on the number of elections that take place, where an election is considered to have taken place once nationwide election-day voting has opened to eligible voters across Israel. The publication of results has no bearing on this market. Early or special voting arrangements held before election day, such as voting by soldiers or by citizens abroad, will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count. A government will be considered formed once it has passed a vote of confidence in the Knesset. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
