Prediction
Answer Options
Learn as you go
As of 30 October 2026, 09:04 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 3% chance and No at 97%.
This prediction covers the Sinaloa, Mexico gubernatorial election scheduled for 6 Jun 2027. YES if Eduardo Ortiz Hernández is the elected governor from that contest; an interim or caretaker officeholder does not qualify. If the result is not definitively known by 23:59 ET on 31 Dec 2027, this settles NO. Consistent reputable reporting decides. If reports are unclear, use official publications from Sinaloa's electoral authority and Mexico's national electoral authority, including the Instituto Electoral del Estado de Sinaloa and Mexico's INE.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
