Prediction
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As of 30 October 2026, 10:11 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 70% chance and No at 30%.
YES requires the US House of Representatives to pass one or more articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump by a simple majority vote between 24 July 2025 and the selected deadline, 31 December 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Senate trial, conviction, or removal from office is not required. A resolution, referral, investigation, or public demand without House passage does not count. NO applies if the House has not passed an article by the deadline. Use federal US government records first, with a consensus of reputable reporting as fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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