Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:56 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 12% chance and No at 88%.
YES if Raphinha is the top scorer of the UEFA Champions League 2026-27, meaning the player with the highest number of goals across all main-tournament matches, from the league phase through the final; goals in the qualifying rounds do not count. If another player is the top scorer, NO. If players finish level on goals, UEFA's official leader decides; if UEFA recognises more than one leader, only the leader whose last name comes first alphabetically counts, so Raphinha is YES only if that leader is Raphinha, otherwise NO. If the 2026-27 competition is cancelled, is postponed beyond 19 June 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or UEFA has not declared an official leader by then, NO. Official UEFA information, including the competition's player goal statistics on uefa.com, decides; broad agreement among reliable reports may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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