Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:57 UTC, versus prices Yes at a >99% chance and No at <1%.
YES applies if the Mississippi State Bulldogs, the NCAA Division I football team of Mississippi State University, finish the 2026 regular season with more than 4.5 wins, which means at least 5 wins. Only games of the official regular season are counted; games in a conference championship, a bowl or the College Football Playoff never count, even if the NCAA treats them as official regular-season games. A game adds a win only when it is actually played and Mississippi State wins it. Games that are cancelled, forfeited without being played, called off because of weather or not played for any other reason add no win, even if the team ends up playing fewer games than scheduled; every regular-season game that is played and won counts. If the 2026 NCAA Division I football regular season is cancelled or postponed beyond 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or if the number of wins Mississippi State recorded by then cannot be established, the answer is NO. Fewer than 5 regular-season wins also means NO. Official NCAA and conference records decide; reliable news coverage may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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