
Prediction
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As of 30 October 2026, 08:59 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 94% chance and No at 6%.
YES requires any candidate to receive more than 50% of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 GA-05 U.S. House election on November 3, 2026. A result below that majority is NO. If the first-round result is not definitive by 11:59 PM ET on March 31, 2027, the answer is NO. A concordant set of credible election reports is used, with the official Georgia electoral authority controlling any conflict.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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