Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:02 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Lee Fairclough at a 64% chance, ahead of Navdeep Bains at 36% and Stephanie Bowman at 4%.
YES belongs to the listed candidate who becomes leader of the Ontario Liberal Party after voting from 9 through 20 November 2026 and the scheduled conclusion on 21 November 2026. A temporary, interim, or placeholder leader appointed before that election does not count. If the result is not known by 31 March 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, use Other. Use a broad agreement among reliable reports; if ambiguous, official Ontario Liberal Party information controls. The listed winner is YES and every other live candidate is NO.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
