Prediction
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As of 30 October 2026, 08:20 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 6% chance and No at 94%.
This prediction is about Argentina's next presidential election, scheduled for 24 October 2027, including a second-round run-off if one is needed. YES if Patricia Bullrich wins that election and becomes president-elect. NO if any other candidate wins. If the vote is moved, the next presidential election still counts. If the winner is still not definitively known by 11:59 PM ET on 31 October 2028, NO. The winner is taken from broad agreement among reputable news outlets; if their reports disagree, the official results from Argentina's Cámara Nacional Electoral or Dirección Nacional Electoral decide.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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