Prediction
Answer Options
Learn as you go
As of 30 October 2026, 10:04 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 20% chance and No at 80%.
YES applies when authorities arrest or detain Hasan Piker between 6 September and 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. This includes temporary holding while a judge considers a detention warrant, physical custody, voluntary surrender on a warrant, booking, handcuffing and transport, surrender at a police station or courthouse, house arrest, or electronic monitoring. An unexecuted warrant, questioning without arrest, or an indictment alone does not count. Official information from the arresting government or law enforcement is primary, with broad agreement among reliable reports also usable. Otherwise NO applies.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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