Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:05 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 32% chance and No at 68%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 05:59 CET / 06:59 CEST the following day. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth’s resignation or removal before this market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
