Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 09:02 UTC, the most likely answer on versus is Hakeem Jeffries at a 93% chance, ahead of Mike Johnson at 7% and Steve Scalise at 6%.
YES goes to the first individual elected Speaker of the United States House for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections. The first successful House election controls; only a person actually elected after those elections qualifies. House records, read in ET, decide, with independent reporting in agreement as fallback.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
Reported by versus Markets
