Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:11 UTC, versus prices Doris Matsui at a 61% chance and Mai Vang at 38%.
At most one listed candidate is YES: the individual who wins the U.S. House seat for California's 7th congressional district (CA-07) at the midterm election on 3 November 2026. If any other candidate wins the seat, both listed candidates are NO. Consistent reporting by reputable news outlets decides the winner; if that is unclear, only the official results published by the U.S. Federal Election Commission (fec.gov) count. Dates in these rules use Eastern Time (ET).
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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