
Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:13 UTC, versus prices Republican party at a 6% chance and Democratic party at 96%.
YES belongs to the affiliation of the candidate taking Nevada’s 3rd congressional district seat in the 2026 U.S. House election on 3 November 2026 (ET). Identify that affiliation from the ballot or another clear record once all 2026 House contests have been called by the adjudicating sources; a candidate without a ballot-listed Democrat or Republican affiliation follows the party they most recently said they intended to caucus with at that point. Use a consensus across reputable election reports for the result; if ambiguity remains, use the official Federal Election Commission result.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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