Will Trump rebrand ICE as NICE by 31 Dec?

As of 30 October 2026, 08:07 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 6% chance and No at 94%.

Category

politics

Closes

2027-01-01 04:59 UTC

Answers

2

Chances as of

2026-10-30 08:07 UTC

YES requires Donald Trump to sign federal legislation or take executive action that officially changes Immigration and Customs Enforcement's name to NICE, or to a name formally abbreviated NICE, by 31 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. The action qualifies even if its effective date is later or it is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked. A proposal or social-media suggestion without such legislation or executive action does not qualify. Official Trump-administration information is primary, with consistent major-news or government reporting as fallback. If no qualifying action occurs by the cutoff, the answer is NO.

Answer options

• Yes6%
• No94%

Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.

Reported by versus Markets