Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 08:56 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 99% chance and No at 1%.
YES if Aaron Rodgers throws at least 16 touchdown passes, according to official NFL statistics, across all of his games in the NFL's 2026-27 regular season (a line of 15.5); with 15 or fewer the answer is NO. Postseason games are excluded. If Rodgers does not take the field in any game of that regular season, whatever the reason, the answer is NO. If the regular season is cut short for any reason, official statistics from the games actually completed decide. If the 2026-27 regular season is cancelled or postponed beyond 26 January 2027 at 11:59 PM ET, or if by then his touchdown pass total still cannot be confirmed, YES and NO each settle at 50%. Official NFL information decides; broad agreement among reliable sports reports may also be used.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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