Prediction
Answer Options
As of 30 October 2026, 10:06 UTC, versus prices Yes at a 92% chance and No at 8%.
YES requires Iowa to record more than 5.5 wins in the NCAA’s 2026 Division 1 football regular season. NO applies otherwise. Count only official regular-season games actually played and won. Exclude conference title games, bowls and College Football Playoff fixtures, regardless of their NCAA classification. A reduced schedule does not create replacement wins: cancellations, weather disruptions, forfeits and other unplayed fixtures add nothing. If the season is cancelled, delayed beyond 26 December 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or the win total cannot be established by then, the result is NO. Use official NCAA records at https://www.ncaa.com and conference records as the primary evidence; corroborated reporting from reliable outlets may also be used. The first published official win total controls.
Each percentage is the market’s current estimate of how likely that answer is. A contract settles at 100p if the answer is right and at 0p if it is wrong.
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